Before our eyes, the decline of Europe is taking place, and it is carried out manually by the Europeans themselves to the approving exclamations of the Americans. This idea became one of the central ones at the XV Verona Eurasian Economic Forum. By the way, the venue of this event confirms the above thesis – from its very foundation, the forum was held in Verona, but this year it moved to Baku. Formally, this happened, of course, due to the fact that it is simply impossible to hold such meetings in Europe now – in modern terms, almost everything related to Russia (and even more so with its officials and big businessmen) is considered toxic. However, in fact, moving the forum from Verona to Baku is reasonable and natural. The center of power in world politics and economics is steadily shifting to the East, and the Azerbaijani capital looks like a much more appropriate place to discuss what is happening in Eurasia than the city of Romeo and Juliet. On the whole, the ongoing changes were clearly described by Deputy Prime Minister Alexei Overchuk, speaking in Baku: Russia ceases to be the east of Europe, but becomes the center of Eurasia.
First step in dense layers
Russia’s place in the world is changing along with changes in the paradigm of the world order. The fact that the liberal-globalist model that became dominant after the end of the Cold War had cracked became clear back in 2008, when the global financial crisis erupted, reminded Antonio Fallico, President of the Discovering Eurasia Association. But the head of Rosneft, Igor Sechin, spoke even more clearly on this matter: “Neither the pandemic, nor, moreover, the Ukrainian crisis, nor the problems of energy and the economy as a whole are in any way the main reason for the tectonic changes taking place in the world.” According to him, what is happening is based on “the process of changing the global hegemonic regulator.” Until recently, this was clearly the United States. Now they are gradually losing their positions, but they do not intend to give them up without a fight, because “the loss of hegemony – financial, military, political and economic – means for them the impossibility of reproducing themselves as a country, economy and political system.”
It would seem that the one who openly challenged American domination, that is, Russia, should have had the most problems in this situation. We really have enough problems. But they are not as serious as they could be – fortunately, since 2014, the country has had time to prepare for the sanctions tsunami. As a result, according to Deputy Prime Minister Overchuk, this year the GDP will shrink, but not by 18%, as expected in March, but only by 2.9%. In the end, Russia, with its natural wealth, will adapt to the new conditions.
Much more worrying is the fate of Europe. Apparently, it is she who will become the main loser. Prior to the beginning of the NWO, the commonplace was the thesis “Americans, entering into a long and principled confrontation with China, do not need a conflict in Europe, since it will draw their forces away.” Practice has shown that this was an erroneous mindset – what is happening today is only for the benefit of the United States. The Europeans have shot themselves in the foot by ditching the Russian energy that fueled their economy. In the United States, which provoked the energy crisis, gas prices are five times lower than in the European Union. The EU economy is weakening, financial capital is leaving Europe, and industrial companies are leaving after it – it turns out to be more profitable for them to work in America than at home. Suffer from this, of course, ordinary EU citizens. Decisions made by the (largely cosmopolitan) bureaucratic elite are paying the price of declining incomes, accelerating inflation and job losses.
What are the three main challenges facing Russia now?
All this Europe could have avoided if it had retained its subjectivity in international affairs. However, preferring to move in the wake of the United States and consistently cutting off ties with Russia, the EU only aggravates its position.
Meanwhile, as Deputy Foreign Minister of Russia Anatoly Grushko noted, speaking at the forum in Baku, multipolarity has already become a reality. “The essence of what is happening today is not the struggle for a multipolar world, but the struggle for its international legal registration in the form of principles and norms of behavior in the international arena, institutions and everything else that is the essence of interstate relations,” the diplomat stated.
Under these conditions, Russia needs to stop focusing on the West and fully focus on establishing a dialogue with other countries pursuing a fully independent policy (the very new poles) – China, India, Brazil, Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and so on. . Particular attention in this regard, of course, should be given to our neighbors in Eurasia. And in this regard, the Verona Dialogue forum, which will now more accurately be called the Baku Dialogue, is of particular importance. One can only regret that the composition of the conference participants corresponded more to the situation of yesterday than today – there were enough Europeans among the speakers, but there were no representatives of Central Asia.